Kodi likuoneka Russia mafuta mitengo kugwa? Chifukwa kugwa mu mitengo mafuta

Aliyense wokhala a Russia akudziŵa bwino mmene ankakhalira m'dziko lake. Kwa miyezi ingapo yapitayi, ndi ruble anagwa kwambiri, zomwe zinachititsa nyamuka lakuthwa mu mitengo. Purchase wa ndalama zakunja wakhala zosatheka, komanso mabanki mukuvutika mavuto cashing likulu chachikulu makasitomala awo. Plus, mtengo wa mafuta anagwa, kuti chinatembenuka chuma cha boma wonse.

Chifukwa kugwa mu mtengo wa mafuta kapena chiwembu ndale

Poganizira mmene mu Russia chabe ku mfundo chuma view, akatswiri ambiri kuona kuti pali chigawo ndale mu zochitika pa msika mafuta. Ambiri amanena kuti kugwa lakuthwa mu mitengo mafuta - akufuna "udzaphwanya" Russia zochita zake kulemekeza Ukraine. Unachitikira likufanana ndi zochitika zimene zinachitika mu 1979. Pambuyo chipwirikiti ku Afghanistan, ndi US chongopeka anachititsa kuchepetsa mtengo wa "golide wakuda", kuganiza kuti n'kogwiritsa kugwa kwa USSR. Kuti ali ngati panopa ndi zimene likuoneka Russia kugwa mu mitengo mafuta, sikutheka motsimikiza. Imangokhala yokha kuwunika chuma cha boma lalikulu.

zili mu mkokomo wa mafuta lerolino?

Ngati zaka zingapo zapitazo panali nkhani za vutoli mphamvu, lero iwo aiwala mu dziko. Mu msika mafuta, chakudya ndi mapazi angapo patsogolo akumufuna. Ichi ndi chifukwa kuwonjezeka kupanga mafuta mu United States. Ndi America lero ndi imodzi mwa malo akutsogola mankhwala mafuta katundu. Kuwonjezeka lakuthwa kupanga zakonzedwa ndi Canada. Russia ndi Saudi Arabia kupereka nkhuni msika lonse mu buku chomwecho. Kugwa mu mitengo mafuta dziko chifukwa chakuti ogula yaikulu ya mafuta (US ndi Canada) Masiku ano osati anasiya kugula mafuta, komanso ayamba Tumizani izo. Libya anabwerera ku msika pambuyo mkati nkhondo ndi Iraq, ndi thandizo US.

Kodi ndi zovuta kulosera za mtengo wa mafuta?

akatswiri ambiri sangathe kulosera pamene kuchepetsa mapeto mitengo mafuta. Ichi ndi chifukwa limatchula za malonda mafuta. Mu msika lonse katundu kwenikweni ndi zochepa 5% ya zolowa okwana. Unyinji ena uphungu - ndi zam'tsogolo, amene ali mapangano ntchito yobweretsa mafuta yaitali. Nthawi zina mtengo "golide wakuda" amadza chifukwa cha nkhondo ndi masoka achilengedwe, chuma kugwa. Pa nthawi yomweyo, komanso zimachitika kuti mtengo wa mankhwala akhala boma malo amodzi, ngakhale ndi kusintha limbika zachuma. Kodi momveka basi chakuti kotunga kuposa anthu, ndi zinthu posachedwapa sizidzasintha.

chuma ndi mphamvu Russia

Kodi likuoneka Russia kugwa mu mitengo mafuta, palibe amene anganene, koma mgwirizano lomveka zinthu pa msika mphamvu ndi chuma cha boma younikira akadali amalowerera. Kuchokera mu 1999, yotsirizira ikukula mwachangu (mpaka 2001) anali. Izi anali limodzi ndi devaluation wa ndalama dziko ndi ntchito wokometsedwa kwa Mlengi zoweta. Mu nthawi kuchokera 2003 mpaka pano anali kulemera Russian n'zogwirizana ndi kukula amphamvu mitengo mphamvu mu dziko. The mpata analola dziko kubweza ngongole kunja ndi kuonjezera Bank a ku Central nkhokwe ya madola oposa biliyoni 425.

Nkhawa chifukwa chakuti akagonana zachuma ndi Europe, dziko ndi kutali kwambiri. M'mayiko EU ikuyenda kuchokera katundu Russian ya mafuta, kulima kugwirizana ndi Saudi Arabia. Chirichonse amapita ku zochotsa ziletso pa Iran, ndi kubwezeretsedwa kwa mafuta aku Iran kwa dziko msika.

Complete kudalira msika mafuta Russian

Kodi likuoneka Russia kugwa mu mitengo mafuta, N'zosavuta kwa ndikuganiza, chifukwa dziko amadalira pa zogulitsa kunja mafuta, makamaka masiku ano, pamene mafakitale ena anayamba kubweretsa ndalama zochepa kwa bajeti. Choncho, Komiti ali mu 2014 analengeza kuwonjezeka mu bajeti chifukwa malonda mafuta thililiyoni 1 rubles, komanso kuchepetsa ndalama ndi rubles biliyoni 300 kuchokera ku ntchito zina zonse. Sikuti mafuta komanso gasi, amene zikugwira katundu wa Russia, anapanga vutolo. The kuchepa kwa mitengo mafuta zinachititsa kuti akuponya mitengo gasi, monga mitengo mphamvu ndi synchronous. Pali kuchepekedwa kuwonjezeka ndi 0.5-0.7% pachaka.

Kusintha zinthu angakhoze kokha structural kusintha chuma ndi infusions mwakhama chitukuko cha kumabungwe ena a ntchito. Chindiletsa kukhazikitsa latsopano kuti boma lamulo, kuthamanga zachuma pa malonda ndi ziphuphu. Mwa zigawo zachiwawa ntchito, lomwe m'tsogolo akhoza kukhala wokhazikika mu Russia, monga ulimi ndi zitsulo.

Kugwiritsa chitukuko cha mafuta ndi gasi makampani anali chifukwa mabwana safuna kukhala, alibe chingatilimbikitse. Chifukwa, ndinawona akuponya kutchuka katundu zoweta mu dziko msika. mafakitale ambiri zochokera kwa ogula zoweta, iwo umabala kufanana chidwi dongosolo amene analamulira mu nthawi ya Soviet.

Mwanjira kupulumutsa dziko asilikali mafakitale komanso makampani nyukiliya. Zamgululi makampani amakonda kutchuka kwambiri mu dziko. Mwatsoka, poyerekeza ndi mankhwala gawo mafuta gasi zolowa akhoza kutchulidwa zochepa.

bajeti Russia ndi kugwa mitengo mafuta

bajeti Russia pa zaka zitatu ndi kuchita masamu pa maziko a chakuti mtengo mafuta asagwe pansipa madola 96 pa mbiya. malire ankaona chinsinsi moyo wa m'dzikolo. Ndipotu, Brent (yobereka anailemba December) lero anagulitsa pa mtengo wa madola 78. Ichi ndi 30% zosakwana msika umafuna mu June. Ngakhale zinthu akumane, kuchepetsa kupanga maiko mafuta exporting sakufuna. Pambuyo pa mitengo mafuta kugwa, zasungidwa kuwombola yachilendo malonda ake utachepa katatu.

Kufanana kuchepetsa bajeti ya Russia utachepa mtengo wa ruble lapansi. The kuchepekedwa kwa ndalama US wapanga vuto zovuta mabungwe akuluakulu malonda, ngati akufunika kubweza udindo ngongole sadzapita mu ndalama. Escalate zinthu khalidwe la anthu. Anthu, pofuna kusunga ndalama zawo, anayamba massively kugula ndalama zakunja. Kuuza kuposa okwanira, ndi mu masiku angapo anasangalala kuti highs mbiri. Pamene pakhala akuponya mitengo mafuta mu 1986, zinthu anali mitigated ndi pamaso pa khushoni chuma, zomwe walola dziko kupulumuka mu nthawi zovuta popanda kuwononga kwambiri. Masiku ano, ndalama katundu ku mabanki n'zochepa, zomwe zimachititsa Russia jittery. Plus, boma chaka chino wakhala biliyoni 90 kusunga ndalama pofuna kusunga mwanjira ina ruble. Ziziyenda zinthu sizinachitike.

Kodi likuoneka Russia mafuta mitengo kugwa?

Today mu Russia, anagwa pa nthawi yovuta. Ndi bwino kuganizira mfundo yakuti chifukwa cha kugwa mu mitengo mafuta si yekha. Mafuta moto anatsanulira ndi boma lokha. Malinga openda ndi chuma padziko lonse, zinthu pa msika mafuta dziko kungakhale n'zofanana ndi kugwa kwa chuma, 50% amene ali ndalama kuchokera malonda mphamvu. Akatswiri amakhulupirira kuti kuchepa adzapitiriza kwa nthawi yaitali mtengo mbiya ya mafuta adzakhala kwathunthu kuphimba ndalama zake ulimi. Pa nthawi, mtengo index wakhala unayamba kupita 38%. Ndipo zipitirirabe. Kumapeto kwa 2014 ndi chiyambi cha 2015 zinali zofanana kwa amene kutero dontho mitengo mafuta mu 2008.

Vuto mafuta bwanji mayiko padziko lonse?

Opanga mafuta shale mu United States ndigwire mtengo awo a m'zigawo za mafuta, ngati mtengo adzakhala zimasiyana $ 40. Malinga ndi Agency Energy, mtengo wa mbiya kuti $ 42 osati kuphimba mtengo wa chitukuko cha "golide wakuda" mu Bakken Mapangidwe, amene mwachangu aithamangitse OPEC membala limati. M'mayiko ena, malinga ndi Fund Monetary, zinthu motere:

• Kuwait, ndi UAE ndi Qatar amafuna mtengo wa $ 70 pa mbiya.
• Iran - madola 136.
• Venezuela ndi Nigeria - madola 120.
• Russia - $ 101.

Pamene kuchepetsa mitengo deta pamwamba boma pang'onopang'ono ataphimbidwa ndi boma ya mavuto. Ndiyeno izo kanthu, chifukwa cha mafuta mtengo kugwa.

Zotsatira za mafuta ndi dola pa moyo amalonda Russia

Kuchepetsa mtengo wa mafuta mu zaka 2014-2015. limodzi ndi kuwonjezeka lakuthwa mu dollar, amene akanali chofunika kwambiri madzi boma Russian. kuwombola yachilendo kuchepekedwa ali yokakamiza boma kutenga osati chikhalidwe, komanso maudindo ena ambiri nzika. Posachedwapa, gawo la chimaposa mu ndalama zakunja anagulitsa ndipo anagula pa midzi ruble ndi anthu. Today kuthekera kukwaniritsa kudzipereka akhoza anazindikira yekha ndi nkhani (kusindikiza ndalama). kuchepekedwa dollar - monga chotsatira cha kugwa mu mitengo mafuta - osati kusokoneza kugula katundu, ndi zina zopangidwa izo palimodzi zosatheka. Mwa njira, pa mankhwala kunja ndi zipangizo zachipatala, zida ofesi ndi mafoni, zovala, makina komanso zinthu zina zoposa 80% msika.

Zotsatira zolaula kugwa mitengo mafuta ndi zobisika malangizo a katundu. Sales mabuku ikugwa kwambiri, mitengo mkuuka, anthu anasiya kukhala zosungunulira. Nkhonyayo oyamba anadza pansi makampani yoti, monga mautumiki awo salinso zogwirizana. Zotsatirazi "phompho" anaulukira subcontracting makampani, makamaka, makampani mayendedwe, malo ndi ena. Chifukwa, kulumpha lakuthwa mu ulova ndi umphawi mlingo wa kuchuluka kwa anthu.

Kodi dontho la mafuta pa nzika wamba

Kugwa mu mitengo mafuta kwachititsa kusintha lonse osati dera malonda a dziko. Chifukwa kupanda chuma komanso pofuna kupulumutsa boma kutsazikana pa nthawi ya ndalama mapulogalamu ambiri. Zikutanthauza Kusiya kuchita zomangamanga. Yafupika ubwino chikhalidwe. Mu gawo la banki kwambiri chinawonjezeka chiwerengero cha ngongole zachabe, wopita ku bankirapuse mabungwe a zachuma. Kukula kwa mtengo wa ogula chimakwirira osati mankhwala achilendo, komanso m'banja. ndalama kuchuluka kupanga chifukwa ndi kulipira malipiro apamwamba. Pankhaniyi, onse nzika avareji dziko sangathe yakusankha osachepera zofunika kwa zinthu zamoyo.

Kodi Zoneneratu kupereka ofufuza

Ngakhale zovuta za nkhaniyi, zochita mwadongosolo ndi zaphindu boma la Russia akhoza kusalaza zinthu. Akatswiri amanena pa mtengo wa mbiya ya mafuta pa $ 60-70 chuma akhoza kuima. Ziyenda Zoneneratu amalola yaing'ono ngongole kunja a boma pang'ono kuchepekedwa kuchuluka kwa rubles 700 biliyoni.

Experience 2008-2009 anasonyeza kuti kuchepetsa mtengo wa mbiya ya mafuta $ 40 osati anakoka kalipeti pansi pa mapazi a Russia, koma sanaletse Olympic mu dziko. Ngakhale ndalama losauka boma, m'matangadza ayenera mpaka chaka ndi theka. Izi, ndithudi, zonse Zoneneratu chabe ndi zitsanzo zotheka, amene zolosera yekha. Kodi zinthu zidzakhala zitachitika, palibe wina kunena motsimikiza ayi.