The cyclical chitukuko cha chuma; zimayambitsa chachikulu ndi zotsatira

Chikhalidwe cyclical chitukuko zachuma - ndi cholinga khalidwe limene anazindikira mwa chuma zamakono zonse. Iwo amakhulupirira kuti dziko msika sangaonekerenso popanda akukumana midzidzi ya zokondweretsa Yehova. Kukula cyclical za cuma - ichi ndi chinachake chimene onse ayenera kuonedwa, chifukwa kumakhudza mwachindunji kapena mozungulira pa nkhani yonse: panyumba aliyense, ndipo boma wonse. Koma chimene chinayambitsa maonekedwe mwadzidzidzi recessions ndi mmene kukamenya?

Ozungulira chitukuko cha chuma msika - izi ndi zimene zoziwika ndi oimira sukulu Soviet, pamene kumemeza njira utsogoleri-lamulo la kulamulira dziko lonse. Iwo ankanena kuti yekha centralized lamulo zingathandize kuchepetsa mavuto obwera wa recessions ndi waphindu. Mwina izi ndi zoona. Koma kuona ngati lamulo chuma ndithu kukwera - ndi funso lofunika.

Akachenjede ano amavomereza kuti cyclical chitukuko cha chuma ndiponso kusintha magawo bizinesi - izo cholinga chenicheni, kusintha munthu sangathe kuchita. Monga simungathe kudziwa chilichonse popanda kupanga zolakwa, ndi ulimi sitingathe kusamukira ku siteji atsopano chitukuko, kodi si apulumuke lapansi. Kukula cyclical a zachuma umalimbikitsa zinthu zimene dongosolo ndi mwa ololera kuti, m'mene anachira, anakulira tsiku. Mavuto - panasonkhana wotsikitsitsa kukula mkombero. Iwo anabwera mu njira zosiyanasiyana:

1) K. Zhuglara (zaka 7-11) - zokhudzana ndi kusinthasintha kwa ndalama ku chuma lokhazikika;

. 2) J. Kitchin (zaka 2-4) - chifukwa cha chimene chili kusintha nkhokwe dziko la golide;

3) N. Kondratiev (zaka 50-60) - zokhudzana patsogolo sayansi ndi luso ndi zina zomwe ake.

Kuwonjezera vutoli, pali magawo atatu zomwe ndi cyclical chitukuko cha chuma, maganizo kumasuka ndi kukula. Iwo amasiyana zizindikiro buku monga GDP (aakulu m'banja mankhwala), GNP (aakulu dziko mankhwala) ndi na- (ndalama fuko). The mkombero lonse lagawidwa zinthu zotsatirazi:

1) nsonga (mfundo imene linanena bungwe anali wapamwamba);

2) Kuchepetsa (nthawi imene pali kuchepa pang'onopang'ono la kumasuka);

3) pansi (mfundo imene ikuimira nthawi imene kumasulidwa ndi kochepa);

4) kuwuka (nthawi imene kupanga pang'ono ndi pang'ono kuwongolera).

Kukula cyclical wa chuma Angagwiritsidwenso ankaimira kuganizira kusinthana cha kukwera ndi kugwa yoweyula, amene amakhudza yaikulu onse chuma lonse ndipo dziko lonse ndi pa zisudzo munthu zachuma. Koma likukhalira, kuvutika ndi zotheka mu nthawi yodziwika ndi kuchira ambiri kapena upturn mu chuma. Izi otchedwa mavuto wapakatikati kuti ali m chikhalidwe zambiri. Iwo Musanyalanyaze chuma lonse wonse ndi mafakitale munthu kapena malo a ntchito zachuma. zotsatira More aakulu yodziwika ndi mavuto structural ndi transformational yaitali ndi zikugwirizananso ndi ntchito nkhani iliyonse payekha.